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MEO1V.HSE Recommendation Reduce
Risk - Target price 8.5
  Share price 9.58
 
 Company Views - Metso
Estimates updated
Price updated
Page generated
Older estimates		 30.Oct.2003 06:08 (EET)
6.Nov.2003 22:40 (EET)
7.Nov.2003 03:00 (EET)
 

Analyst: Henry Nurminen, +358 10 236 4709
henry.nurminen@mandatum.fi
EARNINGS BY PERIOD 2002Q1 2002Q2 2002Q3 2002Q4 2003Q1 2003Q2 2003Q3 2003Q4e
 
* Net sales 1111.0 1178.0 1105.0 1297.0 983.0 1072.0 991.0 1129.0
Metso Paper 456.0 446.0 453.0 617.0 412.0 456.0 415.0 540.0
Metso Automation 151.0 155.0 149.0 167.0 126.0 132.0 120.0 130.0
Metso Minerals 436.0 518.0 427.0 438.0 383.0 433.0 412.0 404.0
Metso Ventures 95.0 85.0 86.0 108.0 81.0 76.0 63.0 75.0
Intra-group sales -27.0 -26.0 -10.0 -33.0 -19.0 -25.0 -19.0 -20.0
* EBITDA 83.6 88.9 63.5 121.0 45.8 67.4 67.5 84.0
Depreciation -52.7 -46.3 -50.0 -48.0 -47.0 -46.0 -47.0 -46.0
* EBIT 30.9 42.6 13.5 73.0 -1.2 21.4 20.5 38.0
Metso Paper 29.2 18.3 10.7 51.1 4.1 10.0 13.4 25.4
Metso Automation -0.7 6.8 5.6 4.6 1.0 6.2 7.4 5.2
Metso Minerals 9.0 19.6 7.1 15.7 0.7 11.3 8.8 9.7
Metso Ventures -0.1 7.3 -1.7 9.4 1.5 4.3 -2.9 3.8
Metso HQ and others -6.5 -9.4 -8.2 -7.8 -8.5 -10.4 -6.2 -6.0
Net financial items -17.0 -20.5 -17.5 -19.0 -18.0 -17.0 -18.0 -17.0
* Pre-tax Profit 13.9 22.1 -4.0 54.0 -19.2 4.4 2.5 21.0
Taxes -7.0 -11.0 0.0 -6.0 0.0 -1.0 -4.0 3.0
Minorities -1.0 -1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.0 1.0 0.0
* Net earnings 5.9 10.1 -4.0 48.0 -19.2 2.4 -0.5 24.0

 
Net sales growth % 10.9% 15.8% 24.6% -9.7% -11.5% -9.0% -10.3% -13.0%
EBITDA % 7.5% 7.5% 5.7% 9.3% 4.7% 6.3% 6.8% 7.4%
EBIT % 2.8% 3.6% 1.2% 5.6% -0.1% 2.0% 2.1% 3.4%
EPS (adj) 0.04 0.07 -0.03 0.35 -0.14 0.02 -0.00 0.18

Cumulative 2002Q1 2002Q2 2002Q3 2002Q4 2003Q1 2003Q2 2003Q3 2003Q4e
 
* Net sales 1111.0 2289.0 3394.0 4691.0 983.0 2055.0 3046.0 4175.0
Metso Paper 456.0 902.0 1355.0 1972.0 412.0 868.0 1283.0 1823.0
Metso Automation 151.0 306.0 455.0 622.0 126.0 258.0 378.0 508.0
Metso Minerals 436.0 954.0 1381.0 1819.0 383.0 816.0 1228.0 1632.0
Metso Ventures 95.0 180.0 266.0 374.0 81.0 157.0 220.0 295.0
Intra-group sales -27.0 -53.0 -63.0 -96.0 -19.0 -44.0 -63.0 -83.0
* EBITDA 83.6 172.5 236.0 357.0 45.8 113.2 180.7 264.7
Depreciation -52.7 -99.0 -149.0 -197.0 -47.0 -93.0 -140.0 -186.0
* EBIT 30.9 73.5 87.0 160.0 -1.2 20.2 40.7 78.7
Metso Paper 29.2 47.5 58.2 109.3 4.1 14.1 27.5 52.9
Metso Automation -0.7 6.1 11.7 16.3 1.0 7.2 14.6 19.8
Metso Minerals 9.0 28.6 35.7 51.4 0.7 12.0 20.8 30.5
Metso Ventures -0.1 7.2 5.5 14.9 1.5 5.8 2.9 6.7
Metso HQ and others -6.5 -15.9 -24.1 -31.9 -8.5 -18.9 -25.1 -31.1
Net financial items -17.0 -37.5 -55.0 -74.0 -18.0 -35.0 -53.0 -70.0
* Pre-tax Profit 13.9 36.0 32.0 86.0 -19.2 -14.8 -12.3 8.7
Taxes -7.0 -18.0 -18.0 -24.0 0.0 -1.0 -5.0 -2.0
Minorities -1.0 -2.0 -2.0 -2.0 0.0 -1.0 0.0 0.0
* Net earnings 5.9 16.0 12.0 60.0 -19.2 -16.8 -17.3 6.7

 
EBITDA % 7.5% 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 4.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.3%
EBIT % 2.8% 3.2% 2.6% 3.4% -0.1% 1.0% 1.3% 1.9%
EPS (adj) 0.04 0.12 0.09 0.44 -0.14 -0.12 -0.13 0.05